150 Pulls: How Many 5-Stars Should You Expect? About 2.4
At an average of 62.9 pulls per 5-star, 150 pulls expect to yield about 2.4 five-stars (and a 78.9% chance of the limited character).
Pulls vs. expected 5-stars and limited-chance
| Pulls | Expected 5-stars | Limited chance |
|---|
| 60 | 0.95 | 17.7% |
| 90 | 1.43 | 59.0% |
| 120 | 1.91 | 70.2% |
| 150 | 2.38 | 78.9% |
| 200 | 3.18 | 100.0% |
Model assumptions: base rate 0.6%; soft pity starts at pull 74, +6% per pull; hard pity at pull 90; 50% 50/50 win rate (losing once guarantees the next 5-star is the limited character). The soft-pity curve is a community-estimated value, not an official figure — actual rates follow each game's official notice.