Already at 40 Pity — How Many More Pulls for 90% Confidence on the Limited? 118 More Pulls
If you have 40 pulls of pity banked, you need about 118 more pulls (158 total) to reach a 90% chance of getting the limited character.
Chance of limited character from 40 pity, by total extra pulls
| Pulls | Limited character chance |
|---|
| 60 | 57.0% |
| 90 | 66.1% |
| 118 | 90.7% |
| 120 | 95.4% |
| 150 | 100.0% |
Model assumptions: base rate 0.6%; soft pity starts at pull 74, +6% per pull; hard pity at pull 90; 50% 50/50 win rate (losing once guarantees the next 5-star is the limited character). The soft-pity curve is a community-estimated value, not an official figure — actual rates follow each game's official notice.